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Supply and Demand Outlook for Semiconductors Continues to Improve

Tags: ETFs, Lam Research (LRCX), Semiconductor HOLDRS (SMH), Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM), SEMI
25 Feb 11:02am
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According to Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI):

North American-based manufacturers of semiconductor equipment posted $1.12 billion in orders in January 2008 (three-month average basis) and a book-to-bill ratio of 0.89 according to the January 2008 Book-to-Bill Report published today by SEMI. A book-to-bill of 0.89 means that $89 worth of orders were received for every $100 of product billed for the month.The three-month average of worldwide bookings in January 2008 was $1.12 billion. The bookings figure is about three percent less than the final December 2007 level of $1.16 billion and 22 percent less than the $1.45 billion in orders posted in January 2007.

22.3%, to be exact. To me, this is good news for semiconductor manufacturers, because the demand for chips is still growing - barely. With equipment installations going down, the oversupply that currently exists will soon be absorbed, recession or no.

Disclosure: Long SMH, MXIM; wrote put options against LRCX

Disclosure: William Trent has a long position in SMH.

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About

BillTrent

Stock Market Beat editor William A. Trent, CFA, has been an equity analyst since 1996 and is co-author of Understanding and Evaluating Prospectuses, Offering Documents, and Proxy Statements. Prior to starting Stock Market Beat he was Senior Equity Analyst for New Amsterdam Partners LLC, a $6 billion institutional asset manager. His experience covers all market-cap sizes and is primarily within the TMT (Telecom, Media and Technology) and Transportation sectors. He is also the senior editor of Financial Education. He is available for freelance writing and consulting projects and can be contacted here. He is not, however, a registered investment advisor and will not accept funds for management.